Coronavirus could infect more than 200 million in Africa ―WHO modelling vanguardnews
The new coronavirus could kill 150,000 people in Africa in a year unless urgent action is taken, according to a WHO modelling study that says nearly a quarter of a billion people will be infected.
“Our model points to the scale of the problem for health systems if containment measures fail,” said the authors. Some 231 million people, or 22 percent of the one billion people in the region were expected to be infected in the 12 month period — most of them showing few or no symptoms.But an estimated 4.6 million people would need to be admitted to hospital, while 140,000 would have severe COVID-19 infection and 89,000 would be critically ill.The modelling estimates what would happen for each country over the period of a year from the beginning of widespread and sustained community transmission.
The authors calculated this risk by looking at each country’s “gathering factor” , people’s likely ease of movement, sanitation and hygiene practices.
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