+34President Bola Tinubu may win the forthcoming 2027 polls despite public discontent, The Economist reports.
Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi, leading opposition candidates, are flagbearers of the African Democratic Congress and Nigeria Democratic Congress respectively. The Economist said Atiku and Obi’s failure to form a joint ticket could prevent opposition votes from being consolidated behind a single candidate.how a unification of opposition votes in the 2023 elections could have usurped Tinubu.
In the polls, Atiku contested under the Peoples Democratic Party while Obi was the Labour Party candidate. Both men had previously been allies under the PDP. Quoting Joachim MacEbong of Control Risks, The Economist said: “Because it’s not a united ticket, that anti-APC vote is not coalesced into a single vote. ”Religion was identified as another factor that may work in Tinubu’s favour.
The Economist noted that Tinubu and Vice-President Kashim Shettima, both being Muslims, resonate with the electorate in northern Nigeria. The region also holds the most votes. According to The Economist, religious identity could also influence voters against Obi, a Catholic.
“Even voters who like Mr. Obi may rule him out because he is a Catholic; the fact that he has a Muslim running mate may not be enough,” it stated.cynicism among some voters as perhaps the most significant factor. It said some voters in northern communities might not judge Tinubu’s administration solely on its record because of their experience of poor public services.
“Many people are living where there has been no real security, no real health care, no real schools. Over time, people’s expectations get lower and lower,” MacEbong was quoted as saying. The publication cited a woman in Maiduguri who said she intended to vote for Tinubu as a “thank you” for medicine she received at a government hospital.
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