'Recession risks are rising' but the latest GDP numbers are expected to show 'solid' growth

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'Recession risks are rising' but the latest GDP numbers are expected to show 'solid' growth
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The latest economic growth figures, to the end of last year, are expected to show a robust economy. But the outlook for 2023 is far less rosy, warn many analysts.

NAB is expecting a quarterly GDP number of 0.8 per cent, ANZ 1 per cent

NAB warns there is close to a 50/50 chance that Australia will slip into recession over the coming couple of yearsIt's backwards-looking data but it's still significant.NAB sees a 0.8 per cent growth in the fourth quarter of 2022. Gross domestic product basically consists of growth in consumption spending , business spending and investment, government spending and the difference between exports and imports.It is clear from the partial data already available that Australians spent quite a bit on services late last year, and that will have given the economy a bit of a kick."In part, this reflects the ongoing recovery in services spending," Mr Oster noted, as people resume lifestyles closer to pre-COVID norms.

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