Nigeria first voted in presidential elections just over 43 years ago in October 1979. The introduction to this form of government was not very auspicious. Four years into the experience, in December 1983, Muhammadu Buhari, then a Major-General in the Nigerian Army, overthrew the system. Soldiers thereafter ran the barn for another 14 and a half years.
reported on January 8, 2023 that the conduct of elections could be precluded in hundreds of locations in up to 14 states around the country.reported an assessment by Nigeria’s security services indicating that insecurity could preclude the conduct of elections in 686 communities or wards located in at least “90 local government areas and 18 states of the federation.” This represents 7.78% of the 8,812 wards in the country.
The potential effect of insecurity on anywhere approaching the scale reportedly estimated by the security services would be very far reaching. Confronted with this, the country must plan for the consequences of the failure or frustration of voting on such a scale or for its impact on the outcomes.
Whatever happens, insecurity has already recorded its first electoral casualty. On the third anniversary of its decision installing the man who came fourth as the winner of the governorship election in Imo State in 2020,the candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party in Imo West Senatorial Zone of the state from the contest for the Senate on February 25, holding that the primaries that produced him occurred in Owerri, the state capital, rather than Orlu, the zonal headquarters.
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