Global FDI projected to plunge 40% below $1 trillion in 2020

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Global FDI projected to plunge 40% below $1 trillion in 2020
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“Prospects depend on the duration of the health crisis and on the effectiveness of policies mitigating the pandemic’s economic effects.”

The projected decrease is expected to bring FDI below $1 trillion for the first time since 2005 . In addition, FDI is projected to decrease by a further five to 10% in 2021, and will initiate a recovery in 2022, the report says.

For Nigeria, Foreign Direct Investment constituted only 3.66% to the total capital inflows in the first quarter of 2020. A decline of 16.72% compared to $257.25 million received in Q4 2019 and 13.39% reduction compared to the corresponding quarter of 2019. Indeed, Nigeria received $5.85 billion capital importation in the Q1 2020, against $8.51 billion a year earlier.

The trade organisation stated that multinational enterprises’ profit alerts are an early warning sign, adding that the top 5,000 MNEs worldwide, which account for most of global FDI, have seen expected earnings for the year revised down by 40% on average, with some industries plunging into losses. Lower profits will hurt reinvested earnings, which on average account for more than 50% of FDI.

“The impact, although severe everywhere, varies by region. Developing economies are expected to see the biggest fall in FDI because they rely more on investment in GVC-intensive and extractive industries, which have been severely hit, and because they are not able to put in place the same economic support measures as developed economies,” said James Zhan, UNCTAD’s Director, Investment and Enterprise.

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