The study says the evidence points towards a more likely unnatural origin for SARS-CoV-2, but not everyone is convinced.
Four years on from the COVID-19 pandemic, the origin of the SARS-CoV-2 virus is still contested. The most widely accepted hypothesis in the scientific community is that the virus naturally emerged from an animal source. However, there are others who believe that the virus leaked from a Chinese laboratory.
The Algorithm For RiskIn the latest study, published in the journal Risk Analysis, MacIntyre and colleagues Xin Chen and Fatema Kalyar analyzed the existing evidence around the origins of the virus using a series of 11 criteria and an algorithm for risk scoring to determine the likelihood of either hypothesis. The criteria included biorisk, peculiarities of the strain, geographic distribution, rapid spread and mode of transmission.
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