Maverick Citizen is today publishing paper one of the NIDS-CRAM report, its Overview and Findings. This survey is the largest, most methodologically sound population analysis of the impact of the Covid-19 lockdown and health emergency to date. Its results, summarised below, are extremely distressing. The report requires urgent debate at every level of government, business and civil society.
Caution in generalizing NIDS-CRAM 2020 results to the population:
In addition to the caution shared by the labour group in the preceding section around extrapolation and representivity, there is an additional note on interpretation for the welfare questions. That is that all responses should be interpreted relative to the period to which they refer. The question “In the month of April did your household run out of money to buy food?” reflects on the time period before the top up to government grants .
1-in-8 respondents reported that someone in their household had gone hungry for three or more days in the last 7 days. The most comparable pre-lockdown statistic comes from the GHS which showed that only 5% of households reported skipping meals for “5 days in the past 30 days” in 2018. By comparison, NIDS-CRAM Wave 1 shows that 7% of respondents report that someone in the household went hungry ‘Almost every day’ or ‘Every day’ in the last 7 days.
Pre-lockdown, three quarters of grant receiving households relied on income sources other than grants. 1-in-4 respondents reported they were unable to access medication, condoms or contraception in the past four weeks . While 91% of respondents reported changing their behaviour in some way to try and prevent contracting or spreading the virus, much of this effort is expended on low-impact strategies. As droplet transmission is the most common means of spreading the disease, the first-best strategies are widely acknowledged to be avoiding large groups of people, physical distancing and mask-wearing. Of those that reported changing behaviour, only 35% reported enacting first-best preventative behaviours.
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