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December 24, 2024 1:44 pmOn December 17, the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics released its Crime Experience and Security Perception Survey . This report, which received widespread news and social media coverage, made various claims about the rate of crime in the period from May 2023 to April 2024.
According to CESPS 2024, a staggering 2,235,954 kidnapping incidents occurred nationwide, with 65% of affected households making ransom payments reaching ₦2.2 trillion, averaging ₦2.7 million per incident. This was a subset of the 51.89 million crime incidents reported by households in the period under review. 51% of crimes occurred in rural settings. It also reported 4.14 million cases of home robberies, 1.4 million sexual offences, and 14.4 million household crimes.
The reported number of kidnapping incidents appears implausible. While acknowledging the endemic nature of kidnapping, particularly in the North, such a figure seems excessive compared to other security challenges. Similarly, the reported ransom payments of ₦2.2 trillion are questionable. It The report’s focus on geopolitical zones and regions is insufficient. A more granular analysis at the state and local government area levels would provide valuable insights, considering population density, purchasing power, and poverty rates. This is crucial, especially in regions severely impacted by criminalFurthermore, the report claimed over 614,000 Nigerians were killed within a year, translating to more than 1,600 deaths daily.
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